The Big Beautiful Bill: What It Means for Investors and the Value Investing Mindset

Aug 14

Share this article:

On July 4th, 2025, President Trump signed into law the One Big Beautiful Bill Act (OBBB). While the media rushed to frame it as a political win or loss, savvy investors know better. This isn’t just policy. This is a shift in the investment landscape—particularly for anyone exposed to energy, infrastructure, or tech.

If you’ve been investing in solar, EVs, utilities, or just watching the broader markets, this bill could have a significant impact on your portfolio.


But here’s the thing. When uncertainty hits the market, most people panic. Value investors do not.

We respond with frameworks, not feelings.

Let’s unpack what this new law really means and how a rational, disciplined investor should think and act.

So, What’s in the Bill?

Despite the name, this isn’t a stimulus bill. It’s a realignment of economic priorities. Clean energy support has been scaled back, while fossil fuels are getting a tailwind. Here's what you need to know.

1. Clean Energy Tax Credits are Being Cut Short

Under previous legislation, developers had years of runway to claim federal tax credits for solar, wind, and EV infrastructure. That window is now closing faster than expected. Projects must begin construction by 2026 and be completed by 2027 to qualify for full credits.


To put this into perspective, many utility-scale projects take more than a year just to clear regulatory hurdles. Thousands of developments are now racing against time. Many simply won’t make it.


That’s roughly $500 billion in expected incentives being removed from the clean energy sector.

2. Tougher Restrictions on Foreign Ownership

The bill also introduces stricter rules on foreign involvement in energy projects. If any component comes from a "Foreign Entity of Concern," like a Chinese supplier, the project may become ineligible for credits.

That’s a big deal. A significant portion of the solar and battery supply chain is global. Even companies based in the U.S. often rely on parts made overseas. These new rules create complexity, raise costs, and limit who can qualify for what’s left of the clean energy support.

3. A Boost for Fossil Fuels

At the same time, the fossil fuel industry is getting a helping hand. More federal land is being opened up for drilling. Leasing and permitting are being streamlined. Oil, gas, and coal production is being encouraged again, after years of policy headwinds.


You’ll likely see this reflected in the earnings of companies like Chevron, ExxonMobil, and other legacy players that are now positioned to benefit from a friendlier regulatory environment.

4. Higher Energy Costs Ahead

With renewables becoming harder to build and support, electricity rates are projected to rise. Some analysts expect the average U.S. household to pay $600 more per year in electricity bills by 2030. That affects consumer spending, corporate margins, and economic growth.


This bill doesn’t just hit clean energy stocks. It reshapes the cost structure for the entire economy.

Market Reaction: Sharp, but Not Always Smart

As expected, the market didn’t wait.


Clean energy ETFs like ICLN and TAN fell more than 10 percent in the days following the announcement. Oil and gas funds rallied. Utility stocks turned volatile as investors tried to figure out who wins and who loses.


You’ll see a lot of noise: people calling this the death of renewables, others claiming it’s just temporary turbulence.


None of that matters unless it affects business performance. Headlines don’t pay dividends. Profits do.

How Value Investors Respond

This is where our mindset matters most. At ViA, we don’t bet on policy. We study businesses. We don’t buy the hype. We buy value.


Here’s how we approach this shift.

Step 1: Review the Assumptions Behind Your Holdings

If you own clean energy stocks, ask yourself a hard question: Were you betting on policy support or business strength?

If a company relied heavily on subsidies to survive, its future just became much riskier. You’ll need to revisit your assumptions, recalculate intrinsic value, and decide if the business still fits your portfolio.

Even great technology doesn’t guarantee profitability if the business model can’t stand on its own.

Step 2: Look for Opportunities in the Overreaction

Panic creates mispricing. We’ve seen this again and again.


For instance, a utility company with diversified energy sources might benefit from higher power prices, even if some of its clean energy projects stall. Industrial suppliers of grid infrastructure or battery tech may still be fundamentally strong but get dragged down with the rest of the sector.

This is when we look for businesses with strong balance sheets, consistent free cash flow, and competitive advantages that the market is temporarily overlooking.

Remember, our edge as value investors is the ability to stay calm when others overreact.

Step 3: Focus on Fundamentals, Not Politics

Governments change their minds. Incentives get added, removed, then added again. But a strong business remains strong regardless of who’s in power.


We don’t chase fossil fuel stocks just because they’re trending. We still look at return on equity, debt levels, pricing power, and management quality. If an oil and gas company checks those boxes and is undervalued, great. If it doesn’t, we move on.


You don’t need to be a policy expert. You need to be a business analyst.

The Bottom Line: Don’t Get Distracted. Get Disciplined.

The Big Beautiful Bill has changed the playing field, no doubt about it. But the rules of smart investing haven’t changed at all.


The market is going to swing between optimism and fear. Some people will chase narratives. Others will freeze in uncertainty.

But if you stick to a proven process, based on business fundamentals and valuation discipline, you don’t just survive. You thrive.

If you want to learn how to invest with clarity, confidence, and control—especially in unpredictable markets like this—I would like to invite you an upcoming webinar "Step-By-Step Company Analysis of Good Growth U.S. Company".

What You’ll Learn in This Webinar:
  • How to identify and evaluate high-quality companies — so you know what’s worth holding in your portfolio
  • A deep dive into a fast-growth company case study
  • Step-by-step S.E.G.A Framework on how to apply value investing methodology on real-world companies.
  • Learn the exact criteria successful investors use to evaluate if a company should be in their portfolio or not
  • How to determine the intrinsic value of a stock so you will know exactly when to enter or exit a stock position.
  • How ViA Atlas Intrinsic Value (IV) Directory can get you started on building a rock-solid portfolio, even for busy professionals without much time to spare.

Share this article

Spot Value Stocks Now

In this live session, you'll see a step-by-step company analysis demonstrated by Cayden Chang, founder of Value Investing Academy. 

Write your awesome label here.

Presented by Cayden Chang

Founder of Value Investing Academy and Award-Winning International Speaker, Lifelong Learner Award 2008, Personal Brand Award 2017


You will learn:

  • A deep dive into a fast-growth company case study.
  • The key financial metrics used when evaluating whether a stock has strong growth potential
  • Step-by-step guide on how to apply the Value Investing Methodology on real-life companies
  • The exact criteria that successful investors use when evaluating any company
  • How to determine the intrinsic value of a stock so you will know exactly when to enter or exit the market
  • How ViA Atlas Intrinsic Value (IV) Directory can get you started on building your own portfolio of superhero stocks, even for busy professionals without much time to spare.


Click the button below to reserve your spot now.